Retire Mechanical engineer. Student at California State university Channel Island studiyingAbout Me

March 29, 2018

The S-400 Dilemma


                                           
Let’s start with a quote. “They have not learned anything. They have not forgotten anything.” This was a quote during the time when the Ottomans came knocking on Vienna’s door.

Fast forward to today. The US and Europe are not happy that Turkey signed a contract with Russia to buy two batteries of S-400 ballistic missiles. The US and the Europeans ‘have not learned anything, and they have not forgotten anything.’ They want Turkey be obedient just like the Arabs.

Let’s look at several hard truths about this dilemma. After WWII, Turkey joined NATO and became dependent on America supplying its defense weapons. Since the breakup of the Soviet Union, Turkey has been confronted with an internal problem with PKK. The Turks know that the CIA and NATO have been supporting the PKK for a long time. In addition, both the Arab Spring and the Syrian war have complicated Turkey’s defense problem even further.

During the Gulf Wars, NATO invoked article 5, and, because of the fact that Turkey is a member of the NATO alliance, placed two batteries of Patriot missiles on the Turkish/Syrian border. When the YPG fired missiles from Syria into Turkish territory, the Patriot missiles, operated by the Germans and Spaniards, were not used to intercept those YPG missiles. Later on the Germans pulled out the Patriot missiles from the Turkish/Syrian border.

It is an accepted fact that the PKK is active in Turkey and is supported by NATO allies. Also, since the 1990s there have been several failed coups, the latest of which occurred in 2015. It was orchestrated by the CIA and also failed. Turkey finds itself in a very insecure position regarding its alliance with the US and with NATO.

Because of these insecurities, Turkey decided to look to other countries for ways to satisfy its security needs. Turkey initiated a defense tender. The European-consortium, US Raytheon Corp., Russian and Chinese companies participated in bidding to build a Turkish air defense system.

Among all the participants, the Chinese offered the lowest bid and were willing to produce these missiles in Turkey. What happened? The US (NATO) put pressure on Turkey implying that the system was not compatible with NATO standards. In addition, the US not only threatened, went ahead and put a weapons embargo on Turkey.

What did Turkey do? It turned to Russia. As of now it has financed and signed an agreement for S-400 missiles for its defense needs. The response?  NATO and the US are putting further pressure on Turkey.

How?

During recent NATO exercises in Norway, pictures of Ataturk (the founder of the Turkish Republic) and pictures of Turkish President Erdogan were put on the practice targets. NATO authorities have apologized three times. Turks have refused to accept the apology.

It was done deliberately to teach the Turks a lesson. US (NATO) is saying that the Russian S-400 missiles are not compatible with the NATO system. But why is it that other NATO countries, including Greece, Bulgaria Hungary, and Germany use the S-300 system? Why is it not a problem for these countries?

In July 15, 2015 if the CIA orchestrated coup had been successful, none of this dialogue with Turkey would have been necessary. Turkey would have been divided, with parts of it a Kurdistan country, and other parts would have been Armenian.

The tables were turned around when Turkey invaded Syria during the Euphrates Shield and Olive Branch operations in Afrin. At that point the greater Middle East project hit the proverbial wall and the obstruction was Turkey.

Recently Turkey has become economically independent from the IMF by paying off all its debts. Of course the IMF patrons are not happy with this. But, because of this economic independence, Turkey has now started to increase its defense budget and produce its own new technology system.  

It must be remembered that Turkey asked to buy Patriot missiles, including technology transfer, from the US, but the US refused. For the past six decades the US got too used dealing with Turkey under its control. Now the US can’t get used to the new independent Turkey. In response, the US and Europeans are threatening Turkey on all levels.

One example is the fact that the Europeans have been dragging their feet for the last 63 years to accept Turkey into the European Union. The irony is the fact that the union is failing and failing badly. Just look at Brexit.

America and the Europeans fear Turkey is sliding into the Eastern bloc. Some Europeans are openly saying they hear the footsteps of Ottoman Empire. Double standards of imperialism.

The fact is, Turkey is not turning to the east or turning to the west. Nor is Turkey going into the eastern or the western orbit. Turkey wants to be independent. Turkey wants to live securely from all the threats it’s surrounded by.

That is what America can’t get used to.

Is it any wonder that Turkey does not trust America and the Europeans? Remember, the CIA orchestrated coup in 2015 failed. Remember, for six decades America has been trying to realize its greater Middle East project and it’s failed. Remember that America and the Europeans did everything under their power to divide Turkey by supporting PKK/YPG/YPD, and giving them 5000 truck-loads of high technology weapons and training their soldiers. But that too, has failed.

America and Europe are so ‘concerned’ that they are telling the Turks not to use drones in Afrin operations, calling it a human rights issue. Well America, why did you use drones in Afghanistan and kill hundreds at a time? Is it not a fact that Pakistan gave orders to shoot any drone used by US?

The drumbeat goes on – Turkey, you can’t buy the S-400 system because it’s not compatible with NATO standards, Turkey, don’t do business with Russia. But, why is it that during the six decades of the alliance between the US and Turkey, trade never once exceeded 20-billion. Yet, with Russia, Turkey is reaching hundreds of billions of dollars in trade. 

Finally, unless America and Europe start a third world war in Syria and declare war against Turkey, it is now very doubtful that the Middle Eastern project will ever succeed. Consider this - if Europe and the US do attack Turkey, do you think Russia and China will not be an observant? Do you think Russia and China will remain neutral? Think about that.